GBP JPY Analysis

 

The British Pound (GBP) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) pair denotes how many Yen are needed to purchase one Pound Sterling. GBP/JPY is a pair widely followed by scalpers and forex day traders. Day traders love the wide and volatile swings the pair tends to make on a day by day basis. There is enough liquidity in the pair for scalpers to quickly get into and out of trades. Additionally, forex technical analysis, such as support and resistance trading, tends to work well due to the amount of volume and forex transactions that takes place in the GBPJPY. This volume and liquidity carves technical patterns that shorter term traders closely follow. GBP/JPY is also a widely followed market for the medium term and longer term traders. Since the JPY is historically a low yielding currency, it is often used as a funding currency of a trade. Additionally, with the United Kingdom begin one of the larger economies in Europe, the Pound-Yen pair carry trade can be viewed as a proxy for worldwide economic health. On the other hand, when the markets experience severe risk aversion, this pair has been a proxy for market ‘risk-off’ moves as the carry trade gets reversed. As a result, GBPJPY has seen strong trends develop that can be in excess of thousands of pips. Due to the volume and liquidity available, retail sentiment can also be useful when trading those trends.Let look at the trading Analysis

GBP/JPY Analysis

Let’s look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is above Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading below Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bearish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (138.90). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (140.35).

On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line has crossed Kijun-sen from above, the red line is directed downwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is crossing the price chart from above, current cloud has reversed from ascending to descending. The instrument has entered the cloud. The closest support level is the lower border of the cloud (137.50). The closest resistance level is the lower border of the cloud (140.85).

Recommendation

On the four-hour chart the instrument has broken down the cloud, forming a strong signal to sell. On the daily chart the instrument is trading within the cloud. It is not recommended to open positions at current price. Pending orders should be placed at the cloud’s borders: sell at the level of 137.50, with Take Profit at 135.55 and Stop Loss at 140.85; buy at the level of 140.85, with Take Profit at 143.20 and Stop Loss at 137.50.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 137.50
Take Profit 135.55
Stop Loss 140.85
Key Levels 138.90, 140.35

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 140.85
Take Profit 143.20
Stop Loss 137.50
Key Levels 138.90, 140.35
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