AUD/JPY: Ichimoku clouds- Forex Technical Analysis – AUDJPY bearish below Ichimoku cloud 

Talking Points:

  • USJ/JPY Technical Strategy: Bullish Break > Ichimoku Cloud turns focus higher
  • Bank of Japan chooses “yield curve control,” they may have changed the game of QE
  • USD/JPY > 100-DMA (103.67), all focus now on 104.32 (Triangle Invalidation)

 

USD/JPY has been called the trend that has killed a few hedge funds. The theme seemed perfect for a rise to 150 from 125 as the Federal Reserve was expecting to raise rates persistently while the Bank of Japan reached in their QE toolbox for more ways to weaken the JPY. However, from June to June, the price of USD/JPY fell ~21% on persistent JPY strength.

AUD/JPY: Ichimoku clouds2017-02-28 06:49 (GMT+2) AUD/JPY

Let’s look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed downwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. The closest support level is Kijun-sen line (86.14). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (86.75).

On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is above the price chart, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading around upper border of the cloud. The closest support level is the upper border of the cloud (85.70). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (86.92).

Recommendation

On the four-hour chart the instrument is still falling. On the daily chart the Bullish trend is still strong. It is recommended to open short positions at current price with the target at the level of previous minimum of Chikou Span line (87.50) and Stop Loss at the lower border of the cloud (85.70).

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation BUY
Entry Point 86.53
Take Profit 87.50
Stop Loss 85.70
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